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Home Italy Serie A Lazio — Lecce

Predictions Lazio vs Lecce November 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Home Win · LAZ
64%
Best 1.77
Draw
24%
Best 3.33
Away Win · LEC
12%
Best 5.45
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.50
Fair odds
8.37
book 9.50 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 12% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (88%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.34
Show model details
Implied probability 15.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 36.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.73
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
LAZ – LEC @ 9.50
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →