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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Sassuolo

Predictions Atalanta vs Sassuolo November 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 11:30
0:3
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Valerio Crezzini, Italy
Home Win · ATA
70%
Best 1.47
Draw
20%
Best 4.40
Away Win · SAS
11%
Best 6.60
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.60
Fair odds
4.26
book 4.60 · +7.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +7.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (77%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.87
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.5%
Odds 7.02
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.5%
Odds 5.22
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 30.5%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ATA – SAS @ 4.60
+7.9%
Edge
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