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Home Italy Serie A Parma — AC Milan

Predictions Parma vs AC Milan November 8, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 19:45
2:2
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Home Win · PAR
12%
Best 6.30
Draw
23%
Best 3.98
Away Win · MIL
65%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.49
Fair odds
3.21
book 3.49 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 11.7%
Odds 6.24
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 11.7%
Odds 4.61
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PAR – MIL @ 3.49
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →