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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Lecce

Predictions Fiorentina vs Lecce November 2, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Rapuano, Italy
Home Win · FIO
64%
Best 1.69
Draw
23%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LEC
13%
Best 5.86
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.20 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (64%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.2%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FIO – LEC @ 3.20
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →