P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Leeds — Crystal Palace

Predictions Leeds vs Crystal Palace December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds, West Yorkshire Referee Thomas Bramall, England
Home Win · LEE
29%
Best 2.72
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · CRY
44%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.00 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (72%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 28.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEE – CRY @ 4.00
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →