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Home Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Praha

Match Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav
Home · last 5 W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 18:00
2:0
Full-time
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
L W L W Away · last 5
Lokotrans Arena · Mlada Boleslav Referee Stanislav Volek, Czechia
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.42
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 48% · book 2.10
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 1.73
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.49 – 0.74
Δ +0.75
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.22 — +4.5% better than the market.

Sparta Praha arrives with a slight edge in recent form and a higher points per game, suggesting they carry more momentum into this clash. Despite limited data on Mlada Boleslav's offensive and defensive strengths, Sparta's consistent scoring threat and experience could challenge the home side's resilience at Lokotrans Arena.

  • Sparta's better recent form hints at a pressing edge.
  • Mlada Boleslav's home setup may focus on compact defense.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 4.22 ✓ Cashed
AI 25% Implied 24% +3.22u
+322%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MLA 20 SPA
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.74
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
0
6
Shots off Target
7
4
Shots Inside Box
10
1
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav beat Sparta Praha 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.49 to 0.74. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net +1.74 units (Brier 0.343).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.42 42% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.10 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Away Win 1.73 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.22 25% Cashed +3.22 Cashed
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L +1.74u +25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
MLA – SPA @ 4.22
+4.5%
Edge
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