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Home Sparta Praha — Zlin

Match Sparta Praha vs Zlin July 31, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
Home · last 5 L W L W
Kick-off
Fri 31 Jul · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
Zlin
Zlin
L L L L Away · last 5
Referee J. Wulkan
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.75
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 37% · book 1.99
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 15% · book 13.00
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.11 – 0.85
Δ +1.26
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +10.6% better than the market.

Sparta Praha hosts Zlin in a match where both sides come off recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. Sparta’s home momentum and tactical discipline could provide a pressing edge against Zlin’s less consistent away form. Expect a compact defensive setup from Zlin, aiming to frustrate the hosts and limit clear chances.

  • Sparta’s home advantage likely to shape the tempo
  • Zlin’s defensive resilience may keep scoring low
  • Recent form hints at a tight, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.75 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SPA 31 ZLI
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.11
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.85
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
14
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Zlin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.11 to 0.85. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -2.77 units (Brier 0.152).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.75 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.99 37% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Away Win 13.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.55 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 85% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 69% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −2.77u −40% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SPA – ZLI @ 1.75
+10.6%
Edge
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