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Home Slavia Praha — Slovácko

Match Slavia Praha vs Slovácko July 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
Home · last 5 W W W D
Kick-off
Sun 26 Jul · 13:00
5:1
Full-time
Slovácko
Slovácko
L D L L Away · last 5
Fortuna Arena · Prague Referee O. Pechanec
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 36% · book 2.70
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.68
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.20
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
3.73 – 0.62
Δ +3.11
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
6 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.50 — +11.8% better than the market.

With limited form and strength data, the home advantage at Fortuna Arena and market odds favor Slavia Praha, suggesting a solid home momentum. The betting market leans towards a match with multiple goals, hinting at an open game pace. Expect Slavia's attacking intent to challenge Slovácko's defense, while the visitors may look to absorb pressure and counter.

  • Home edge likely significant despite data gaps
  • Market signals favor over 2.5 goals
  • Potential tactical battle: pressing home side vs compact away block

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.50 ✗ Lost
AI 15% Implied 13% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SLA 51 SLO
60%
Possession (%)
40%
3.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
15
Total Shots
5
10
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
2
5
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
0
22
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Slavia Praha beat Slovácko 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 4–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.73 to 0.62. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 5, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.73 units (Brier 0.141).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.70 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.68 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.20 43% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 1.65 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.25 42% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Away Win 15.50 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.00 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 7.50 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 84% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 86% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.15 71% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 7 L −3.73u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
SLA – SLO @ 7.50
+11.8%
Edge
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