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Home Plzen — Slovan Liberec

Match Plzen vs Slovan Liberec July 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Plzen
Plzen
Home · last 5 L D D W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Jul · 15:00
1:3
Full-time
Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec
W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Karel Roucek, Czechia
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 44% · book 2.50
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.75
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.01
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.07 – 2.42
Δ −1.35
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.50 — +10.4% better than the market.

Plzen enters this clash with a slight home advantage, though limited data tempers confidence. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a balanced goal threat from both sides. Plzen’s home edge could manifest in sharper attacking transitions, while Slovan Liberec might rely on a compact defensive setup to frustrate their hosts.

  • Home momentum may favor Plzen’s pressing game
  • Slovan Liberec’s resilience could limit clear chances
  • Moderate pace hints at a tactical, measured encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 44% Implied 40% +1.50u
+150%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PLZ 13 LIB
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.42
8
Total Shots
21
1
Shots on Target
10
3
Shots off Target
9
6
Shots Inside Box
15
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
2
Yellow Cards
5
8
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Slovan Liberec won 3–1 away at Plzen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.42 to 1.07. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 10 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net +2.94 units (Brier 0.333).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.50 44% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.01 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.53 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.69 22% Cashed +4.69 Cashed
Draw 4.25 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L +2.94u +42% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
PLZ – LIB @ 2.50
+10.4%
Edge
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