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Home England Premier League Brighton — Sunderland

Predictions Brighton vs Sunderland December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex Referee Darren England, England
Home Win · BRI
64%
Best 1.68
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · SUN
13%
Best 5.10
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.63
book 4.00 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.3%
Odds 5.49
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.6%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.3%
Odds 4.13
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BRI – SUN @ 4.00
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →