Match FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz July 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Lugano enters this Super League clash with a clear home advantage suggested by the odds, indicating a likely edge in quality and momentum despite limited recent form data. The market leans towards an open game with over 2.5 goals favored, hinting at a lively pace and attacking intent from both sides. Expect Lugano to leverage their home comfort and pressing style to challenge Vaduz’s defense.

Home momentum and crowd support
Potential for an open, attacking match
Vaduz’s defensive resilience tested

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LUG 3-4-1-2 · VAD 4-3-1-2

LUG · 3-4-1-2 4-3-1-2 · VAD

11 Steffen

📊 Statistics

LUG 2 – 1 VAD

49%

Possession (%)

51%

2.03

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Lugano beat FC Vaduz 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.03 to 0.71. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.61 units (Brier 0.134).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.18	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.61	—	59%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.27	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.88	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Away Win	6.50	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.47	—	59%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Draw	4.75	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	80%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.61u	−33% ROI