Match FC Luzern vs FC Thun July 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Super League clash at Swissporarena leans towards an open game. The odds suggest a lively tempo with a strong chance of goals, hinting at both sides finding the net. Home advantage may offer Luzern a slight edge, but the lack of clear form signals keeps the outcome uncertain.

Potential for an attacking contest given the goal market odds
Home side likely to push forward with crowd support
Both teams could exploit defensive gaps in transition

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LUZ 4-4-2 · THU 4-4-2

LUZ · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · THU

27 Villiger

📊 Statistics

LUZ 1 – 3 THU

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun won 3–1 away at FC Luzern. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 1.63. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.08 units (Brier 0.189).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.74	—	35%	Cashed	+1.74	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.30	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.87	—	50%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.90	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.10	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.36	—	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.33	—	71%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
BTTS No	3.25	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.08u	−19% ROI