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Home Denmark Superliga Aarhus — Odense

Preview Aarhus vs Odense August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Aarhus
Aarhus
Home · last 5 D D L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 12:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Odense
Odense
L W L L Away · last 5
Referee M. Kristoffersen
Home Win · AAR
51%
Best 1.73
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · ODE
25%
Best 4.33

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Aarhus and Odense face off in a tight Superliga clash where recent form and home momentum slightly favor Aarhus. Both sides show signs of defensive resilience, but Aarhus' home edge and marginally better recent points per game hint at a compact, tactical battle. Expect a moderate tempo with chances on set pieces and pressing duels shaping the game.

  • Aarhus holds a mild home advantage with steadier form.
  • Odense’s defense could be tested by Aarhus’ pressing.
  • Match likely to feature tactical discipline and moderate scoring.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 51% Aarhus win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 59% Yes
Double Chance 75% 1X
  • 1X2 Aarhus win 51%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 59%
  • Double Chance 1X 75%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aarhus
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 9 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.67 / 1.89
Odense
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 2 / 5
Avg goals / match 1.4
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.43 / 1.38

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.33
Goals Scored
0.50
1.67
Goals Conceded
1
1.65
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
4.33
Shots on Target
3.25
7.33
Corners
7.25
52.67
Possession (%)
55.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
58
OFF · home
75
83
DEF · home
75
67
OFF · away
58
17
DEF · away
25
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Aarhus wins when scoring first
Odense wins when scoring first
Aarhus BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Odense BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Aarhus Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Odense Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Aarhus comeback rate · last 10
0%
Odense comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Aarhus · last 5 at home

0–15 29%
16–30 0%
31–45 43%
46–60 0%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Odense · last 5 away

0–15 50%
16–30 17%
31–45 17%
46–60 0%
61–75 17%
76–90 0%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
AAR · Midfielder
2 G · 0.65 g/90
J. Jønsson
AAR · Midfielder
1 G · 0.73 g/90
N. Ganaus
ODE · Attacker
1 G · 0.24 g/90
Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
ODE · Midfielder
0 G