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Home Scotland Premiership Kilmarnock — Celtic

Match Kilmarnock vs Celtic August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 12:30
1:5
Full-time
Celtic
Celtic
W W Away · last 5
Referee R. Lee
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.73
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.64
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.19
Total goals
6
1 · 5
xG (open play)
0.86 – 5.65
Δ −4.79
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.19 — +14.8% better than the market.

Celtic enter this clash with clear momentum, riding a winning streak against a struggling Kilmarnock side fresh off a loss. The away team’s recent form and historical dominance suggest they hold the tactical upper hand, likely controlling possession and pressing high. Expect a compact defensive block from Kilmarnock, aiming to frustrate Celtic’s attacking rhythm.

  • Celtic’s confidence and sharper attack
  • Kilmarnock’s defensive resilience at home
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favoring under 3.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.19 ✗ Lost
AI 52% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KIL 15 CEL
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
5.65
10
Total Shots
33
6
Shots on Target
16
2
Shots off Target
10
10
Shots Inside Box
29
5
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
10
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
0
11
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Celtic won 5–1 away at Kilmarnock. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 5.65 to 0.86. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 33 shots to 10, 16 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 11 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.09 units (Brier 0.207).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.73 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.64 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.19 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 48% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.20 34% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.96 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.27 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.42 61% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.12 81% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 54% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 4.95 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −3.09u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KIL – CEL @ 2.19
+14.8%
Edge
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