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Home Scotland Premiership Motherwell — Falkirk

Match Motherwell vs Falkirk August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Falkirk
Falkirk
L D Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell Referee C. Graham
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.10
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.11
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 52% · book 2.00
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.89 – 0.43
Δ +0.46
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.11 — +14.3% better than the market.

Motherwell arrives at Fir Park with clear home momentum after a recent win, while Falkirk struggles on the road, having lost their last five matches. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Falkirk’s defensive frailties. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds favoring under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Motherwell’s home edge and recent form advantage
  • Falkirk’s away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities
  • Likely low-scoring, controlled pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.11 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 47% +1.11u
+111%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MOT 00 FAL
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.89
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.43
11
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
3
2
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
16
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Motherwell and Falkirk drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.62 units (Brier 0.193).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.11 54% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.00 52% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Home Win 1.80 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 76% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 4.10 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.75 24% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 5 L +1.62u +15% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MOT – FAL @ 2.11
+14.3%
Edge
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