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Home Scotland Premiership Heart Of Midlothian — Dundee Utd

Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 14:00
4:0
Full-time
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
D L Away · last 5
Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh Referee K. Clancy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.98
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.10
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 46% · book 2.40
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.12 – 0.54
Δ +1.58
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.40 — +10.4% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian hosts Dundee Utd at Tynecastle Park in a clash where recent form favors the visitors slightly, with Dundee Utd showing resilience through draws while Hearts are coming off a loss. The home side's lack of momentum and the away team's steady defensive displays suggest a cautious encounter.

  • Home side seeks to bounce back after a defeat
  • Visitors' compact defense likely to limit clear chances
  • Odds and trends hint at a low-scoring, tight game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.40 ✗ Lost
AI 46% Implied 42% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

HEA 40 DUN
42%
Possession (%)
58%
2.12
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
12
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat Dundee Utd 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.12 to 0.54. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.12 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.54 units (Brier 0.250).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.98 59% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.40 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 45% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 76% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Home Win 1.58 54% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 22% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Draw 4.50 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.54u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
HEA – DUN @ 2.40
+10.4%
Edge
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