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Home Scotland Premiership Dundee — Aberdeen

Match Dundee vs Aberdeen August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Dundee
Dundee
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 14:00
2:0
Full-time
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
W L Away · last 5
Referee C. Scott
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.00
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.16
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 38% · book 2.60
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.22 – 0.66
Δ +1.56
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +9.5% better than the market.

Dundee hosts Aberdeen in a clash where recent form favors the visitors, who come off a win while Dundee is struggling with a loss. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals and a low-scoring game. Aberdeen’s momentum and better recent results suggest they could control the game, but Dundee’s home resilience might keep things tight.

  • Aberdeen’s winning form contrasts with Dundee’s struggles
  • Odds and trends suggest a low-scoring, tactical battle
  • Home side’s compact defense could limit chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed
AI 78% Implied 71% +0.40u
+40%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

DUN 20 ABE
47%
Possession (%)
53%
2.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.66
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
12
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Dundee beat Aberdeen 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.22 to 0.66. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.29 units (Brier 0.187).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 58% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 2.16 54% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Away Win 2.60 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.62 36% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 78% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.53 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.29u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
DUN – ABE @ 1.40
+9.5%
Edge
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