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Home Scotland Premiership ST Mirren — ST Johnstone

Match ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
W L Away · last 5
The SMISA Stadium · Paisley Referee R. Hardie
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.62
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.08
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.91
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.35 – 1.29
Δ +0.06
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.08 — +3.2% better than the market.

ST Mirren and ST Johnstone both arrive on the back of wins, suggesting early season momentum for each side. The home advantage at The SMISA Stadium could offer Mirren a slight edge, especially as both teams appear evenly matched in form and quality. Expect a cautious tempo given balanced odds on goals, with a compact defensive setup likely from both sides.

  • Home crowd support may boost Mirren's pressing intensity.
  • Both teams showing solid recent form, hinting at a tight contest.
  • Odds suggest a moderate goal environment, favoring a tactical battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.08 ✓ Cashed
AI 50% Implied 48% +1.08u
+108%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MIR 10 JOH
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.29
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
8
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

ST Mirren beat ST Johnstone 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.99 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.62 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 50% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.91 54% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 2.33 39% Cashed +1.33 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 66% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 75% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.99u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MIR – JOH @ 2.08
+3.2%
Edge
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