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Home Scotland Premiership Aberdeen — Heart Of Midlothian

Match Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian August 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
L W Away · last 5
Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen Referee D. Dickinson
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 52% · book 2.05
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.68
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.20
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.32 – 1.36
Δ +0.96
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.20 — +14.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Premiership clash at Pittodrie Stadium hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight leaning towards goals, reflecting a potential for both sides to find the net. Home advantage might offer Aberdeen a pressing edge, but Hearts’ away resilience could keep the match tight.

  • Home momentum could be key despite unclear form.
  • Both teams likely to test defenses actively.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 4.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 27% Implied 24% +3.20u
+320%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

ABE 21 HEA
51%
Possession (%)
49%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.36
11
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
17
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Aberdeen beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.32 to 1.36. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.04 units (Brier 0.234).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.05 52% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.68 57% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.17 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.78 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 4.20 27% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Draw 3.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L +0.04u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
ABE – HEA @ 4.20
+14.8%
Edge
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