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Home Scotland Premiership Falkirk — ST Mirren

Match Falkirk vs ST Mirren August 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Falkirk
Falkirk
Home · last 5 L D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
W W Away · last 5
Referee D. Nicolson
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.80
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.67
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.20
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.77 – 1.52
Δ −0.75
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.56 — +4.1% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Premiership clash between Falkirk and ST Mirren remains open. The odds suggest a balanced contest with a slight lean towards a home or draw outcome, reflecting a cautious pace and moderate goal expectation. Both sides may look to establish control through compact defensive setups and probing attacks, aiming to capitalize on set-piece moments.

  • Home advantage offers some edge in familiar conditions.
  • Expect a tactical midfield battle with pressing intensity.
  • Moderate goal environment hints at a tight, strategic game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.56 ✓ Cashed
AI 29% Implied 28% +2.56u
+256%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FAL 02 MIR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.52
10
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
18
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
0
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

ST Mirren won 2–0 away at Falkirk. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.52 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.04 units (Brier 0.262).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.80 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 43% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 47% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Home Win 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 68% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 29% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −0.04u −0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
FAL – MIR @ 3.56
+4.1%
Edge
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