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Home England Premier League Bournemouth — Burnley

Predictions Bournemouth vs Burnley December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Home Win · BOU
69%
Best 1.53
Draw
21%
Best 4.43
Away Win · BUR
10%
Best 6.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.98
book 4.50 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.4%
Odds 5.17
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 31%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BOU – BUR @ 4.50
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →