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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Widzew Łódź

Predictions Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź May 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 D D L W D
Kick-off
Fri 15 May · 18:30
1:0
Full-time
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
W L W L W Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce Referee T. Kwiatkowski
Home Win · KOR
42%
Best 2.60
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · WID
31%
Best 2.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
3.09
book 3.25 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +5.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
KOR – WID @ 3.25
+5.2%
Edge
Forecast →