Match Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź August 9, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.10 — +10.5% better than the market.

Jagiellonia arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record compared to Widzew Łódź's more cautious draws. The home side's sharper form and higher points per game suggest they will press their advantage early. Despite Widzew's slightly higher expected goals, the match hints at a balanced pace with potential for goals from both sides.

Jagiellonia's home confidence and recent wins
Widzew's resilience but limited scoring form
Moderate tempo favoring tactical battles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JAG 4-3-3 · WID 4-4-2

JAG · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · WID

7 Szmyt

📊 Statistics

JAG 0 – 2 WID

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Widzew Łódź won 2–0 away at Jagiellonia. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.46 units (Brier 0.246).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.10	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.36	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	46%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.73	—	47%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	58%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.04	—	31%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	69%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.46u	−13% ROI

Match Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.10 — +10.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled