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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Wieczysta Kraków — Lech Poznan

Match Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan August 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Wieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków
Home · last 5 L L W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 15:30
1:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
D W W Away · last 5
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana · Kraków Referee W. Myc
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.30
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.30
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 50% · book 2.20
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.99 – 1.63
Δ −0.64
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.20 — +9.1% better than the market.

Lech Poznan arrives with a slight edge in form and experience, while Wieczysta Kraków shows signs of struggle with a recent loss. The away side's more consistent point collection suggests a tactical advantage, especially in maintaining defensive solidity. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds favoring fewer goals, hinting at a compact battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Lech's steadier form offers a pressing edge.
  • Wieczysta's home momentum is fragile after recent defeat.
  • Odds suggest a low-scoring, tight contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

WIE 12 LEC
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.99
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
12
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Target
7
9
Shots off Target
10
9
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
9
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Lech Poznan won 2–1 away at Wieczysta Kraków. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.63 to 0.99. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.30 units (Brier 0.170).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.20 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.80 50% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.60 49% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 73% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 4.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 74% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.58 49% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Draw 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −3.30u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
WIE – LEC @ 2.20
+9.1%
Edge
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