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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin — Lech Poznan

Predictions Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 18:15
0:1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin Referee Karol Arys, Poland
Home Win · MOT
19%
Best 3.70
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · LEC
59%
Best 1.85
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
4.91
book 5.50 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 18.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 18.9%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 41.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MOT – LEC @ 5.50
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →