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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Piast Gliwice

Predictions Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice May 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 D D L W D
Kick-off
Fri 01 May · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
W D D L L Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce Referee P. Gryckiewicz
Home Win · KOR
38%
Best 2.26
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · PIA
36%
Best 3.04
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.04
Fair odds
2.77
book 3.04 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
2
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +9.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (38%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 36.1%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
KOR – PIA @ 3.04
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →