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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Jagiellonia

Predictions Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia May 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Wed 13 May · 18:30
0:2
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
L W W D W Away · last 5
Referee S. Marciniak
Home Win · RAK
38%
Best 2.15
Draw
25%
Best 3.40
Away Win · JAG
37%
Best 3.31
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.55
book 4.00 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 37%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 37%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.6%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RAK – JAG @ 4.00
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →