Match Lechia Gdansk vs Raków Częstochowa April 25, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.53 — +8.7% better than the market.

Lechia Gdansk holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, leveraging a solid offensive setup against Raków's leaky defense. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Raków's defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Raków's resilience, their lower form and away struggles suggest Lechia can control the pace and create chances.

Home edge in attack-defense matchup
Lechia's recent form stronger
Potential for a moderately open game with goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.53 ✗ Lost

AI 71% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-4-2 · RAK 3-4-3

LEC · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · RAK

79 Sezonienko

📊 Statistics

LEC 1 – 2 RAK

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa won 2–1 away at Lechia Gdansk. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 4 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.72 units (Brier 0.195).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.65	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.26	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	54%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	57%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.87	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.67	—	29%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.96	—	29%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.43	—	68%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.95	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	54%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	77%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.72u	−22% ROI

Match Lechia Gdansk vs Raków Częstochowa April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.53 — +8.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled