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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Arka Gdynia — Jagiellonia

Predictions Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 15:30
0:3
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
L W W D W Away · last 5
Referee Wojciech Myc, Poland
Home Win · ARK
22%
Best 3.20
Draw
26%
Best 3.32
Away Win · JAG
53%
Best 2.17
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.76
book 11.00 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.5%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 21.7%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ARK – JAG @ 11.00
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →