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Home Turkey Süper Lig Kasımpaşa — Trabzonspor

Match Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 16:00
1:1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
D Away · last 5
Referee Gurcan Hasova, Türkiye
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 51% · book 2.08
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.81
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.09
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.70 – 0.79
Δ +0.91
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.08 — +5.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Süper Lig clash leans on tactical intuition and market signals. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight edge to Trabzonspor, hinting at their potential to control tempo and exploit defensive gaps. Expect a balanced contest where set-piece threats and pressing intensity could decide the outcome.

  • Trabzonspor likely holds a mild quality advantage.
  • Market odds favor a moderately paced match with goals.
  • Home side’s resilience and pressing could challenge visitors.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.08 ✓ Cashed
AI 51% Implied 48% +1.08u
+108%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KAS 11 TRA
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.79
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
10
0
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
9
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.79. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.44 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.08 51% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.81 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.09 46% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.73 54% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.80 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.53 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.93 24% Cashed +2.93 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.25 73% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 5 L +1.44u +13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
KAS – TRA @ 2.08
+5.8%
Edge
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