Match Lech Poznan vs GKS Katowice April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.52 — +11.0% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.52 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 40% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-4-2 · GKS 3-4-3

LEC · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · GKS

9 Ishak

📊 Statistics

LEC 3 – 3 GKS

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.74

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lech Poznan and GKS Katowice drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.35 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.48 units (Brier 0.215).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.65	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.52	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.62	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.35	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.30	—	36%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.37	—	34%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	86%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	55%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.30	—	22%	Cashed	+3.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.84	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.48u	−9% ROI