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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia — Lech Poznan

Predictions Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 L W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 18:15
0:0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland
Home Win · JAG
34%
Best 2.66
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LEC
41%
Best 2.39
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.18
book 2.48 · +13.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (54%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 5.06
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 43%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.3%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
JAG – LEC @ 2.48
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →