Match Arka Gdynia vs Zaglebie Lubin April 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 8.50 — +14.6% better than the market.

Arka Gdynia hosts Zaglebie Lubin in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and offensive threat. However, Arka's recent home form shows resilience, and their defensive solidity could limit Lubin's scoring chances. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat may counterbalance the away team's attacking prowess.

Zaglebie's superior quality and offensive edge suggest control in possession.
Arka's home momentum and defensive discipline could keep the game tight.
Expect a moderate pace with a leaning towards a low-scoring encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 8.50 ✗ Lost

AI 13% Implied 12% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARK 4-2-3-1 · ZAG 4-2-3-1

ARK · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ZAG

19 Gutkovskis

📊 Statistics

ARK 3 – 1 ZAG

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.84

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Arka Gdynia beat Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.84 to 0.85. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.96 units (Brier 0.299).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.73	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.27	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	42%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	2.43	—	33%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.19	—	36%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.65	—	33%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Away Win	3.18	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	87%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	—	62%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	18%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.96u	−6% ROI