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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Excelsior — Ajax

Preview Excelsior vs Ajax February 14, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Sun 14 Feb · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Ajax
Ajax
W D Away · last 5
Home Win · EXC
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · AJA
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Excelsior
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.75 / 1.39
Ajax
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 6 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.74 / 0.94

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Conceded
1
1.84
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
5.50
Shots on Target
5
4.50
Corners
8.50
47.50
Possession (%)
61.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
67
39
DEF · home
83
89
OFF · away
39
83
DEF · away
89
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Excelsior wins when scoring first
Ajax wins when scoring first
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Ajax BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Ajax Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%
Ajax comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Excelsior · last 4 at home

0–15 50%
16–30 25%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

Ajax · last 4 away

0–15 20%
16–30 0%
31–45 40%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 20%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

N. Naujoks
EXC · Midfielder
2 G · 2.00 g/90
I. Yegoian
EXC · Attacker
1 G · 0.55 g/90
J. Brandt
AJA · Midfielder
1 G
J. Mokio
AJA · Midfielder
1 G