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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Heerenveen — Excelsior

Preview Heerenveen vs Excelsior October 16, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Excelsior
Excelsior
W L Away · last 5
Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen
Home Win · HEE
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · EXC
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Heerenveen
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 1.85
Excelsior
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.75 / 1.39

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
2.50
1
Goals Conceded
1
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
6
Shots on Target
5.50
3
Corners
4.50
46
Possession (%)
47.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
6
OFF · home
0
56
DEF · home
39
17
OFF · away
89
33
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Heerenveen wins when scoring first
Excelsior wins when scoring first
Heerenveen BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Heerenveen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Heerenveen comeback rate · last 10
0%
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Heerenveen · last 4 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 14%
31–45 14%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Excelsior · last 3 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 67%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

L. Oyen
HEE · Attacker
1 G
J. Trenskow
HEE · Midfielder
1 G · 0.52 g/90
N. Naujoks
EXC · Midfielder
2 G · 2.00 g/90
I. Yegoian
EXC · Attacker
1 G · 0.55 g/90