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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — Excelsior

Preview Ajax vs Excelsior September 19, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Excelsior
Excelsior
W L Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Home Win · AJA
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · EXC
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Ajax
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 6 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.74 / 0.94
Excelsior
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.75 / 1.39

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2.50
1
Goals Conceded
1
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
5
Shots on Target
5.50
8.50
Corners
4.50
61.50
Possession (%)
47.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
0
83
DEF · home
39
39
OFF · away
89
89
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Ajax wins when scoring first
Excelsior wins when scoring first
Ajax BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Ajax Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Ajax comeback rate · last 10
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Ajax · last 5 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 22%
31–45 22%
46–60 11%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%

Excelsior · last 3 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 67%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

J. Brandt
AJA · Midfielder
1 G
J. Mokio
AJA · Midfielder
1 G
N. Naujoks
EXC · Midfielder
2 G · 2.00 g/90
I. Yegoian
EXC · Attacker
1 G · 0.55 g/90