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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Telstar — Sparta Rotterdam

Predictions Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam August 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Telstar
Telstar
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Fri 14 Aug · 18:00
1:3
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L W Away · last 5
Referee I. Oostrom
Home Win · STO
40%
Best 2.14
Draw
26%
Best 3.72
Away Win · SPA
34%
Best 3.27
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.93
book 3.10 · +5.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +5.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 34.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
STO – SPA @ 3.10
+5.8%
Edge
Forecast →