P
Prognosist
P
Home Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — ADO Den Haag

Predictions AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag August 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee E. Blank
Home Win · ALK
58%
Best 1.40
Draw
21%
Best 5.18
Away Win · HAA
21%
Best 8.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.75 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (79%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 20.6%
Odds 6.43
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ALK – HAA @ 2.75
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →