Match GO Ahead Eagles vs Willem II August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.38 — +11.0% better than the market.

With limited recent form and team strength data, this Eredivisie clash at De Adelaarshorst leans towards a cautious outlook. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight home edge, as GO Ahead Eagles typically benefit from familiar surroundings. The market favors over 2.5 goals, hinting at a lively tempo and potential for both sides to find the net despite the lack of clear form trends.

Home advantage may spark sharper attacking intent.
Both teams could exploit defensive gaps in transition.
Market odds imply a moderately high-scoring encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.38 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EAG 4-2-3-1 · WIL 4-3-3

EAG · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · WIL

9 Sigurðarson

📊 Statistics

EAG 4 – 1 WIL

69%

Possession (%)

31%

2.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles beat Willem II 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.35 to 1.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 13, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.35 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.48 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.38	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	58%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	60%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.40	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.38	—	39%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Home Win	1.67	—	53%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.53	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.08	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.22	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	76%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.48u	−23% ROI