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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Cambuur — Excelsior

Match Cambuur vs Excelsior August 7, 2026 — Result and Stats

Cambuur
Cambuur
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Fri 07 Aug · 18:00
0:4
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
W L Away · last 5
Kooi Stadion · Leeuwarden Referee A. Lindhout
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 2.60
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.30
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.70 – 3.35
Δ −2.65
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Eredivisie clash at Kooi Stadion leans on market signals suggesting a lively encounter. The odds favor a match with goals, hinting at open play and attacking intent from both sides. Home advantage might offer Cambuur a slight edge, but the balanced betting probabilities reflect a tight contest.

  • Potential for an open, attacking game
  • Home side’s slight edge in familiar surroundings
  • Market suggests moderate goal-scoring pace

Expect a competitive match where neither side dominates, and goal opportunities could come from quick transitions and set pieces. The lack of clear form trends means both teams will look to establish rhythm early on.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

CAM 04 EXC
46%
Possession (%)
54%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.35
11
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Target
9
6
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
11
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Excelsior won 4–0 away at Cambuur. At half-time it was 0–3.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.35 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.19 units (Brier 0.278).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.60 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 58% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.30 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 38% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Away Win 2.58 37% Cashed +1.58 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 38% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.53 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −0.19u −2% ROI