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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Arouca

Preview Nacional vs Arouca March 21, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sun 21 Mar · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Arouca
Arouca
W W Away · last 5
Home Win · NAC
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · ARO
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nacional
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.31
Arouca
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 13 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 1.17

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2.50
1
Goals Conceded
0
1.66
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
3.50
Shots on Target
4
5.50
Corners
3.50
53.50
Possession (%)
46.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
71
OFF · home
76
76
DEF · home
94
47
OFF · away
6
47
DEF · away
18
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
Arouca wins when scoring first
86%
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Nacional · last 10 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 0%
31–45 8%
46–60 15%
61–75 38%
76–90 23%

Arouca · last 10 away

0–15 8%
16–30 0%
31–45 17%
46–60 25%
61–75 42%
76–90 8%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.65 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90
Barbero
ARO · Attacker
2 G · 1.45 g/90
D. Nandín
ARO · Attacker
1 G