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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Nacional

Preview Alverca vs Nacional February 21, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Feb · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Nacional
Nacional
D W Away · last 5
Home Win · ALV
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · NAC
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Alverca
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.19
Nacional
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.31

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
1.71
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
4.50
Shots on Target
3.50
5.50
Corners
5.50
46
Possession (%)
53.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
65
OFF · home
71
41
DEF · home
76
76
OFF · away
47
12
DEF · away
47
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Alverca wins when scoring first
67%
Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
Alverca BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Alverca Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Alverca comeback rate · last 10
33%
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Alverca · last 10 at home

0–15 21%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 21%
61–75 29%
76–90 29%

Nacional · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 29%
31–45 29%
46–60 0%
61–75 14%
76–90 29%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Vivaldo Semedo
ALV · Attacker
1 G · 0.63 g/90
Ian Luccas
ALV · Midfielder
1 G · 0.57 g/90
Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.65 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90