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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Estrela

Preview Arouca vs Estrela October 11, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Estrela
Estrela
D D Away · last 5
Home Win · ARO
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · EST
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Arouca
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 13 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 1.17
Estrela
W/D/L 0-4-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 2.09

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
2
0
Goals Conceded
2
1.32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
4
Shots on Target
5.50
3.50
Corners
2.50
46.50
Possession (%)
49
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
76
OFF · home
35
94
DEF · home
12
6
OFF · away
59
18
DEF · away
35
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Arouca wins when scoring first
86%
Estrela wins when scoring first
25%
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Estrela BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Estrela Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%
Estrela comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Arouca · last 10 at home

0–15 23%
16–30 9%
31–45 14%
46–60 23%
61–75 14%
76–90 18%

Estrela · last 10 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 11%
46–60 11%
61–75 22%
76–90 22%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

Barbero
ARO · Attacker
2 G · 1.45 g/90
D. Nandín
ARO · Attacker
1 G
L. Antonetti
EST · Attacker
2 G · 1.02 g/90
B. Souza
EST · Midfielder
1 G