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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Alverca

Preview Nacional vs Alverca September 13, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Alverca
Alverca
L D Away · last 5
Home Win · NAC
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · ALV
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nacional
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.31
Alverca
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.19

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
1.66
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
3.50
Shots on Target
4.50
5.50
Corners
5.50
53.50
Possession (%)
46
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
71
OFF · home
65
76
DEF · home
41
47
OFF · away
76
47
DEF · away
12
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
Alverca wins when scoring first
67%
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Alverca BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Alverca Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
Alverca comeback rate · last 10
33%

🔥 Goal timing

Nacional · last 10 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 0%
31–45 8%
46–60 15%
61–75 38%
76–90 23%

Alverca · last 10 away

0–15 29%
16–30 29%
31–45 0%
46–60 14%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.65 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90
Vivaldo Semedo
ALV · Attacker
1 G · 0.63 g/90
Ian Luccas
ALV · Midfielder
1 G · 0.57 g/90