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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Zaglebie Lubin — Widzew Łódź

Match Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Home · last 5 L D W L L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
W L W L W Away · last 5
KGHM Zaglebie Arena · Lubin Referee Tomasz Marciniak, Poland
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.48
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.07
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.90
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.44 — +8.0% better than the market.

Zaglebie Lubin enters this clash with a clear quality edge and solid home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Their offensive strength pairs well against Widzew Łódź's slightly vulnerable defense, suggesting chances to control the game. Widzew's inconsistent form and defensive lapses away from home could be exploited, though their attack remains competitive. Expect a moderately paced encounter with a tactical battle focused on compact defending and set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's pressing edge and better form
  • Offensive mismatch favoring Zaglebie
  • Potential for a tight scoreline with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

ZAG 21 WID
49%
Possession (%)
51%
14
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
8
10
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
17
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
6
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Zaglebie Lubin beat Widzew Łódź 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.67 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.48 48% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS No 2.07 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.90 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.88 48% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.02 44% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.77 48% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.60 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.14 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.45 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.99 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 76% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 90% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 69% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.67u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
ZAG – WID @ 1.44
+8.0%
Edge
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