Match Lechia Gdansk vs Nieciecza November 29, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.78 — +9.1% better than the market.

Lechia Gdansk hold a clear quality edge and enjoy a mild home advantage, which should help them control the game tempo. Their offensive strength matches well against Nieciecza's defense, suggesting chances to break through. Both sides show decent recent form, but Lechia's home momentum and pressing edge could tip the balance.

Home side's attacking edge vs away defense
Moderate home advantage in play style
Balanced recent form but home confidence stronger

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 56% +0.78u

+78%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · TER 3-4-3

LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · TER

89 Bobček

📊 Statistics

LEC 5 – 1 TER

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lechia Gdansk beat Nieciecza 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 4, 8 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.55 units (Brier 0.135).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.78	—	61%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.35	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.61	—	57%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	—	56%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.56	—	34%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.10	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	84%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.38	—	61%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	79%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.98	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.30	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.55u	−27% ROI