Match Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia November 21, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.36 — +8.4% better than the market.

Nieciecza hosts Arka Gdynia with a clear quality edge, boosted by a solid defensive setup that should contain Arka's moderate attack. Despite Nieciecza's recent struggles, their home form and tactical discipline give them a pressing edge. Arka's better recent form suggests they can challenge, but expect a cautious pace with limited goal-scoring chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Arka's recent momentum
Likely controlled tempo and tight midfield battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 80% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TER 3-4-3 · ARK 3-4-2-1

TER · 3-4-3 3-4-2-1 · ARK

9 Jiménez

📊 Statistics

TER 2 – 0 ARK

51%

Possession (%)

49%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Nieciecza beat Arka Gdynia 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.25 units (Brier 0.111).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.12	—	55%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.95	—	60%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	2.12	—	55%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.93	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.73	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	80%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.51	—	55%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.56	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	65%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Away Win	3.72	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.25u	−25% ROI