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Home France Ligue 1 Marseille — Strasbourg

Predictions Marseille vs Strasbourg August 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Referee R. Buquet
Home Win · MAR
51%
Best 1.76
Draw
23%
Best 4.40
Away Win · STR
26%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.27
Fair odds
3.87
book 4.27 · +10.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +10.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (51%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.7%
Odds 4.95
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MAR – STR @ 4.27
+10.1%
Edge
Forecast →