🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 57% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
This Serie A opener between Venezia and Lecce hints at a cautious tempo, with odds favoring a tight, low-scoring affair. Both sides lack recent form data, suggesting early-season rust and tactical adjustments. Venezia’s home advantage might offer a slight edge, but expect compact defensive setups limiting clear chances.
- Likely conservative approach from both teams
- Home side’s slight edge in familiarity and conditions
- Market signals lean towards under 2.5 goals
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 42% | Venezia win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 69% | 1X |
- 1X2 Venezia win 42%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance 1X 69%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Venezia
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.06 / 1.63
Lecce
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.06 / 1.51
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Venezia wins when scoring first
50%
①
Lecce wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Venezia BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Lecce BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Venezia Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Lecce Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Venezia comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Lecce comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Venezia · last 10 at home
0–15
17%
16–30
17%
31–45
0%
46–60
33%
61–75
33%
76–90
0%
Lecce · last 10 away
0–15
33%
16–30
11%
31–45
0%
46–60
11%
61–75
22%
76–90
22%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.