P
Prognosist
P
Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Lech Poznan

Predictions Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan September 24, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Wed 24 Sep · 16:45
2:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Home Win · RAK
38%
Best 2.04
Draw
28%
Best 3.40
Away Win · LEC
34%
Best 3.53
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.50
Fair odds
2.94
book 3.50 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 34% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (38%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.81
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 34%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Team Totals 2 markets
Away Team Total Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Team Total Over 0.5
Probability 48%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 45%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAK – LEC @ 3.50
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →